BERYL EXPECTED TO BECOME A DANGEROUS MAJOR HURRICANE BEFORE REACHING THE WINDWARD ISLANDS… HURRICANE WATCHES ISSUED…
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SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST…1500 UTC…INFORMATION
- Location: 10.0N 47.8W
- About: 820 mi (1320 km) ESE of Barbados
- Maximum Sustained Winds: 65 mph (100 km/h)
- Present Movement: W or 275 degrees at 23 mph (37 km/h)
- Minimum Central Pressure: 998 mb (29.47 inches)
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WATCHES AND WARNINGS
Changes with this advisory:
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- Tropical Storm Watch: Issued for Martinique by the government of France.
- Hurricane Watch: Issued for St. Lucia by the government of St. Lucia.
- Hurricane Watch: Issued for St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands by the government of Barbados.
- Hurricane Watch: Issued for Grenada and Tropical Storm Watch for Tobago by the government of Trinidad and Tobago.
Summary of watches and warnings in effect:
- Hurricane Watch:
- Barbados
- St. Lucia
- St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands
- Grenada
- Tropical Storm Watch:
- Martinique
- Tobago
Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings will likely be required for portions of this area later today.
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For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Beryl was located near latitude 10.0 North, longitude 47.8 West. Beryl is moving toward the west near 23 mph (37 km/h). A relatively quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move across the Windward Islands late Sunday night and Monday.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is now forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a major hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 998 mb (29.47 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
Key messages for Tropical Storm Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC.
- WIND: Hurricane conditions are possible in the hurricane watch areas Sunday night or Monday morning, with tropical storm conditions possible by late Sunday. Tropical storm conditions are possible in the tropical storm watch areas by Monday morning.
- STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow in the hurricane watch areas. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves.
- RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands Sunday night into Monday. This rainfall may cause flooding in vulnerable areas.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Tropical Storm Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf.
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