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HomeCARIBBEAN NEWSPrivate school VAT raids: What’s the actual impact?
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Private schools have reduced their fees and increased bursaries after Labour removed their tax breaks, as data shows pupil numbers have dropped by 13,000 in a year.

The Independent Schools Council has published its annual census, its first since ministers began charging VAT on fees and making private schools pay business rates.

Mark Taylor, interim chair of the ISC, said it showed the “triple whammy” on independent school finances, the third being the rise in national insurance employer contributions.

“This series of political decisions is unprecedented,” he said, stressing the importance of data to ensure “black and white” evidence of their repercussions.

A negative impact of tax raids on private schools has been widely feared by the sector, with national headlines warning of a major “private school exodus”.

The education secretary, meanwhile, this week told Times Radio private schools had “cried wolf”. 

Bridget Phillipson accused them of “whack[ing] up their fees year on year, way beyond inflation” and said it was for them to “justify their decision-making around the level of fee that they set”.

According to the Institute for Fiscal Studies, private school fees rose by 24 per cent in real-terms between 2010 and 2020.

Pupil numbers fall

At 1,380 ISC members that participated in both the 2024 and 2025 censuses, pupil numbers dropped by 2.4 per cent, or around 13,000.

The government had estimated there would be around 3,000 more pupils in the state sector as a result of the introduction of VAT, with another 300 expected because of business rates.

However, the decrease from 551,578 to 538,214 takes numbers closer to the population seen in 2022 – 544,000, though the drop is more than double the 5,000 decrease seen after the pandemic hit in 2021.

The figures show London private schools experienced the smallest change in pupil numbers (-1.5 per cent), followed by the south east (-2.3 per cent). Areas in the north and Midlands recorded the largest drop, of all areas in England.

But most schools reduce fees

Figures also show many schools chose to reduce fees in January, when the VAT changes were introduced. This meant they did not pass on the full 20 per cent cost to parents.

Schools on average reduced fees by 5 per cent. This means that “on average, schools passed on in effect 14 per cent VAT to parents”.

Looking solely at day fees – and excluding SEND schools where fees can differ depending on a child’s needs – two-thirds (69 per cent) of ISC schools reduced their fees in January.

More than one in 10 schools (88 schools, or 10.2 per cent overall) reduced their fees by between 10 and 20 per cent – with another 0.6 per cent of schools (five schools in total) reduced their fees by more than 20 per cent.

The majority of schools lowered their feed by up to 10 per cent. Around one-third did not change their fees.

Meanwhile a very small number (1.3 per cent) increased fees.

Across all schools that completed the census in January 2024 and 2025 – again discounting special needs schools and nursery fees – this marks an overall average fee increase of 1.4 per cent, excluding VAT.

More in bursaries

Meanwhile, independent schools have increased the amount of help they give pupils with fees.

The ISC census shows 34.5 per cent of all independent school pupils (more than 183,000) currently receive help with their fees. This equates to more than £1.5bn – an increase of 11.4 per cent on last year’s support.

A “significant majority” (73 per cent) of this comes directly from the schools. ISC schools provide fee assistance worth more than £1.1bn annually – an increase of £3.9 per cent compared to last year.

Other support comes from sources such as local authorities and the government.

The ISC data shows fee assistance has been generally increasing since 2000.

In 2024-25, 39,090 pupils received means-tested bursaries and scholarships. Of these, 13,260 covered 76 per cent to 100 per cent of fees.

In 2023-24, 41,492 pupils received such support. But slightly fewer received higher-level support. That year, 13,042 received 76 to 100 per cent scholarships and bursaries.

Taylor said this shows that “even under the most acute pressure, schools have maintained their commitment to educate the widest possible range of children”. 

“Last year, a record amount was spent helping families to afford the fees. This year, that record has already been broken: overall fee assistance has increased by 11 per cent.”

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